Posted this in another thread about my expectation for Carrie's follower count :
Twitter has 100 million active users, Facebook has 600 million. If you go by that, Carrie would have roughly 1 million followers.
However, a more accurate estimate may be obtained by calculating the Facebook:Twitter ratios for various artists.
Lady GaGa : 48.377/19.653=2.46
Rihanna : 52.071/14.070=3.7
Katy Perry : 40.019/15.459=2.58
SWSRN : 29.003/11.277=2.57
Miranda : 3.104/0.7=4.43
Carrie has 6.5 million fans on Facebook as of this post. If her F:T ratio is as high as Miranda's, she will only gain 1.47 million followers. If it is as low as GaGa's, she will gain 2.46 million followers.
The average appears to be roughly 2.5, which would mean she would get 2.6 million followers.
Of course Facebook and Twitter are very different platforms. Artists whose pages DON'T make regular posts tend to get more fans, because people on Facebook don't "like" pages because they want to receive feeds, they do so rather casually. If that page makes too many posts, they often get ticked off and "unlike" the page. On Twitter, the more active a profile is, the MORE followers it gets, because the people really do want to hear about the artist.
The last factor is that Twitter is VERY US-dominated, while Facebook is completely global. Because Carrie's fan base is primarily US-based, it is likely she will have a very LOW Facebook:Twitter ratio, possibly as low as 2, which could mean roughly 3 million followers, like you said.
Anyway, that's my take. We're at 73,700 followers right now.
Mine is HoangaliciousDo :-) nice to meet everyone!
I'm a victim of that! I had to delete my old account.
Now I'm @leilamaurizia2
Hey follow me!! I'm Tpence21
I will follow back!!
not sure about this twitter thing yet LOL...but my name is oklawoman on there. Follow me!
Tweety Got Back - A Twitter Theme Shoppe | Free Twitter Backgrounds and Themes
I have used this site and I love their designs they have on there, but there are other sites u can look up and find
Mine is NCarrieFan
OK - I totally caved and am officially on twitter - hhsmmom
No clue what I am doing and am too tired to figure it out tonight but I am following most of you - just a couple I couldn't find.
I'm @nannyluvscmu. Don't follow me if you don't, for some reason, like Angie Harmon or...terrible, terrible jokes about sex. But I will also post something insightful...so...follow at your own risk. Oh, and I'm married to Mel...so if lesbians offend you, walk away.
I still can't believe it, but I've been a twitter holdout too until Carrie joined. Now I love following her and finding about her. I haven't posted in awhile, but I've been a member of here since 2005 and at the OFC since day one. I'm really excited about Good Girl and the forthcoming album (side note: she should probably just name it Forthcoming). This new era's going to rock! my twitter id is @StricklinC.
how did i miss this? i've been out of town on and off for the past 2 weeks. so im going to give this twitter thing a try. so far, im using it primarily to follow sports updates (i still think this site is the best for Carrie news since you all are so prompt in posting news)...
anyhow, my username is @jeff48109. maybe the first few followers get a prize im trying to follow some of you, but if i miss you, it just means im stupid and couldnt get it to work
edit: its more tedious than i thought to try to add everyone. follow me, and i'll follow back.
Last edited by jeff; 03-11-2012 at 06:30 PM.
^ so... welcome to CF Twitter gang...