HDD Sales Projection for Carnival Ride (week 28)

[idolcarrie22]

I love Phil's CD, but I just don't think there was enough promotion. Once more people hear his single, it should pick up because his voice is amazing. Carrie's looking good so far this week as well.

[hjj]

I have heard Phil a few times this last couple of weeks on my radio station.

[teesharky]

guys the last update looks pretty bad- or did I estimate wrong? She is not even at 8k with 45% in.

[carrieidol1]

^^^i wouldn't worry, it was probably a small update, like no one changed much from that update.

[carrieidol1]

I mean, she is up to 24 in positions.

[Awsomecarrie]

Crap it looks like Swifty is going back to #1

[Awsomecarrie]

Carries team needs to do some promo for this album, again none of my stores have any CR in stock for weeks now, they have those stupid music passes but they are duds, Carrie's record label needs to open there eyes to the fact that they f'd up with those stupid things.

[hjj]

At the end of the day Carrie's > 6 mil sold will be hard to match by anybody including herself. Carrie is doing great, however I hope people have access to this great cd. Hopefully she will continue getting high on billboard and recognized for the singer/live performer that she is.

[jimshoe]

Originally Posted by teesharky

guys the last update looks pretty bad- or did I estimate wrong? She is not even at 8k with 45% in.

No need to worry tee. Last week at this time Carrie was at 7941 and now this week she's at 7891 so there is virtually no difference. Plus as I said before last week they overestimated Carrie and usually the pattern seems to reverse itself the next week so they may underestimate Carrie some this week.

[robinannhunt]

Originally Posted by Awsomecarrie

Carries team needs to do some promo for this album, again none of my stores have any CR in stock for weeks now, they have those stupid music passes but they are duds, Carrie's record label needs to open there eyes to the fact that they f'd up with those stupid things.

A few SH in my Target and no CR today.

[cary78663]

CHART DATE: 05/05/2008
LAST UPDATE: 05/05/2008 15:45:57
NOW IN: 45.86%


LW TW artist / album label power index
-- 1 MADONNA WARNER BROS. 120,912
HARD CANDY
2 2 LEONA LEWIS J RECORDS/RMG 42,961
SPIRIT
1 3 MARIAH CAREY ISLAND/IDJMG 41,689
E=MC2
-- 4 LYFE JENNINGS COLUMBIA 36,461
LYFE CHANGE
-- 5 DEF LEPPARD ISLAND/IDJMG 28,009
SONGS FROM THE SPARKLE LOUNGE
-- 6 ROOTS DEF JAM/IDJMG 22,264
RISING DOWN
5 7 NOW 27 SBMG/COMMERICAL MUSIC GRP 19,041
VARIOUS ARTISTS
10 8 TAYLOR SWIFT BIG MACHINE 15,646
TAYLOR SWIFT
8 9 GEORGE STRAIT MCA NASHVILLE 14,739
TROUBADOUR
22 10 COLBIE CAILLAT UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 11,827
COCO
-- 11 PORTISHEAD ISLAND/IDJMG 11,751
THIRD
11 12 ALVIN & THE CHIPMUNKS RAZOR & TIE 11,721
SOUNDTRACK
13 13 JAMES OTTO WARNER BROS. NASHVILLE 11,311
SUNSET MAN
14 14 JACK JOHNSON BRUSHFIRE/UNIV REPUBLIC 11,131
SLEEP THROUGH THE STATIC
12 15 HANNAH MONTANA WALT DISNEY RECORDS 11,067
BEST OF BOTH WORLDS CONCERT
6 16 JUNO RHINO 9,836
SOUNDTRACK
18 17 JORDIN SPARKS 19/JIVE/ZLG 9,736
JORDIN SPARKS
23 18 DAUGHTRY RCA/RMG 9,701
DAUGHTRY
25 19 ALAN JACKSON ARISTA NASHVILLE 8,930
GOOD TIME
-- 20 LIL' MAMA JIVE/ZLG 8,795
VYP: VOICE OF THE YOUNG PEOPLE
-- 21 MUDCRUTCH REPRISE 8,708
MUDCRUTCH
16 22 RICK ROSS DEF JAM/IDJMG 8,619
TRILLA
44 23 GARTH BROOKS PEARL RECORDS 8,117
ULTIMATE HITS
28 24 CARRIE UNDERWOOD ARISTA/RMG 7,891
CARNIVAL RIDE
24 25 ALICIA KEYS J RECORDS/RMG 7,780
AS I AM
41 26 KID ROCK ATLANTIC 7,721
ROCK N ROLL JESUS
19 27 JONAS BROTHERS HOLLYWOOD 7,561
JONAS BROTHERS
42 28 KEYSHIA COLE GEFFEN 7,474
JUST LIKE YOU
27 29 DANITY KANE BAD BOY/ATLANTIC 7,466
WELCOME TO THE DOLLHOUSE
-- 30 PHIL STACEY LYRIC STREET 7,341
PHIL STACEY
21 31 MICHAEL BUBLE REPRISE 7,317
CALL ME IRRESPONSIBLE
-- 32 NATASHA BEDINGFIELD EPIC 7,258
POCKETFUL OF SUNSHINE
36 33 MARY J. BLIGE GEFFEN 7,182
GROWING PAINS
43 34 TRACE ADKINS CAPITOL NASHVILLE 6,910
AMERICAN MAN: GREATEST HITS V2
3 35 ASHLEE SIMPSON GEFFEN 6,715
BITTERSWEET WORLD
37 36 CHRIS BROWN JIVE/ZLG 6,163
EXCLUSIVE
-- 37 RIHANNA DEF JAM/IDJMG 6,004
GOOD GIRL GONE BAD
-- 38 LINKIN PARK WARNER BROS. 5,922
MINUTES TO MIDNIGHT
-- 39 CARLY SIMON HEAR MUSIC 5,717
THIS KIND OF LOVE
-- 40 AUGUSTANA EPIC 5,699
CAN'T LOVE, CAN'T HURT
29 41 AMY WINEHOUSE UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 5,558
BACK TO BLACK
-- 42 STEVE WINWOOD COLUMBIA 5,538
NINE LIVES
30 43 SARA BAREILLES EPIC 5,525
LITTLE VOICE
17 44 LADY ANTEBELLUM CAPITOL NASHVILLE 5,519
LADY ANTEBELLUM
47 45 SUGARLAND MERCURY NASHVILLE 5,421
ENJOY THE RIDE
4 46 FLIGHT OF THE CONCHORDS SUB POP 5,381
FLIGHT OF THE CONCHORDS
34 47 HANNAH MONTANA 2 - MEET MILEY WALT DISNEY RECORDS 5,206
SOUNDTRACK
-- 48 ESTELLE ATLANTIC 5,156
SHINE
50 49 ONEREPUBLIC INTERSCOPE 5,015
DREAMING OUT LOUD
9 50 PHIL VASSAR UNIVERSAL SOUTH 4,875
PRAYER OF A COMMON MAN

[cary78663]

Ok, I have some estimates. But some of them seem strange. For example, the estimate has Lady Antebellum losing more than 50% in its 3rd week to about 11K and that is too big of a drop.

Anyway compared to last week, the top 5 are:

Taylor 30K
George 23K
James Otto 18K
Alan 15K+
Carrie 15K-

But if I am correct, Lady Antebellum could slip in front of Carrie (and Alan) and push Carrie down to #6.

[Jade_kt]