HDD Sales Projections: Play On Era, Week 14 (February 9th, 2010)

**eliefares** · 02-03-2010

LADY A GETS ANOTHER WEEK

Cash Money/Universal Motown’s Lil Wayne Rock Album Is Top Debut

February 3, 2010

In a week that should be full of sales spikes from the best-watched Grammy show in six years, Capitol Nashville’s Lady Antebellum should return to the top of the HITS album chart next week after scoring 485k in sales in a chart-topping debut.That’s based on one-day sales reports from those retailers who have not resorted to selling discs from the trunk of their car.
Cash Money/Universal Motown’s Lil Wayne long-awaited rock album, Rebirth, hit yesterday, and looks on track for between 140-150k in first-week sales as he prepares to be imprisoned for a year on gun possession charges. Needless to say, his last album, 2008’s Tha Carter III debuted with one million sales in its first week. He appears on the cover of the current issue of Rolling Stone.
Hollywood’s Nick Jonas & the Administration will debut between 80-85k for their debut, Who I Am, with a deluxe edition featuring videos on sale exclusively at Target and iTunes.
Rob Zombie’s Hellbilly Deluxe II, the sequel to his 1998 album, and first for Loud & Proud/Roadrunner, should sell in the 35-40k range. The album’s subtitle is Noble Jackals, Penny Dreadfuls and the Systematic Dehumanization of Cool.
The market was up 11% vs. last week, flat against the same week last year and now down 5% year to date.
You may now start preparing a cake with a file inside to send to Weezy.

**teesharky** · 02-03-2010

lmao at the cake comment on weezy. lol

Is every rapper in jail right now? lol TI, etc. lol

**Kizmet311** · 02-03-2010

Can't wait to see the Top Ten prediction on Friday. Hope Carrie sees a nice spike from the sale on iTunes and the Grammys!

**clh_hilary** · 02-03-2010

Good to see Lady A's topping for another week!
Not hating but Lil Wayne's 'rock' album is horrible. It's just noise.

**Cristal Line** · 02-05-2010

YOUR SUPER BOWL WEAKEND CHART PREVIEW: Lady Antebellum will hold on to the #1 spot for a second week with a total that may approach 200k, while Grammy winners and performers (Lady A among them) will dominate the leader board next week, as the Grammy spike once again takes effect. Taylor Swift, whose Fearless won Album of the Year, should finish the week with an increase of 85-90%. While this is less than previous Album of the Year winners, it should be noted that Fearless has already sold 5.5m copies. We’ll give you some percentage increases on specific albums benefiting from the Grammy spike as soon as our numbers-crunching elves work them out on the office abacus. In the meantimer, here are the projections:
Lady Antebellum, Need You Now (Capitol Nashville/EMI) 185-195k
* Lil Wayne (Cash Money/Universal Motown) 155-165k
2010 Grammy Nominees (Capitol/EMI) 95-105k
* Nick Jonas & the Administration (Hollywood) 85-90k
Lady Gaga, The Fame (Interscope) 85-90k
Black Eyed Peas (Interscope) 75-80k
Taylor Swift (Big Machine) 60-65k
Zac Brown Band (Atlantic) 50-55k
* Rob Zombie (Roadrunner) 40-45k
Susan Boyle (Columbia) 40-45k
Beyonce (Columbia) 40-45k
Lady Gaga, The Fame Monster (Interscope) 30-35k
Lady Antebellum (Capitol Nashville/EMI) 25-30k
Alicia Keys (J/RMG) 25-30k
Kings of Leon (RCA/RMG) 25-30k
Michael Jackson's This Is It (Epic) 25-30k
Pink (LaFace/JLG) 25-30k
Hope for Haiti (Hope for Haiti) 25-30k
Carrie Underwood (19/Arista Nashville) 25-30k
Kidz Bop Kids (Razor & Tie) 25-30k
Mary J. Blige (Geffen) 25-30k
* Denotes debut
You may now return to filling out squares in the office pool. (2/5a)

**carriebest** · 02-05-2010

OMG....PO is back to top 15 !!!!!!!!!!!!!

and we've still got SUPER BOWL next week!! WOOT WOOT!!

**carrieidol1** · 02-05-2010

Maybe she can sneak into the top 10??? Quite a long shot but hey...you never know!

**epicamends** · 02-05-2010

Wooo!! Go Carrie!!!

Do you think the Superbowl appearance will help her sales too? I know millions and millions of people watch that, but do the artists who perform the national anthem usually see a sales boost?

**yehchern** · 02-06-2010

hopefully 1 % of the viewers buy PO after the superbowl...haha...just kidding...1 % means 1 million..haha

**carriebest** · 02-06-2010

Originally Posted by yehchern

hopefully 1 % of the viewers buy PO after the superbowl...haha...just kidding...1 % means 1 million..haha

Amen...

**JB172** · 02-06-2010

Lady A is pulling in some serious numbers. Good for them.

**The Nanook** · 02-06-2010

Wow Fearless has sold 5.5 million in this day and age? That's really impressive. It doesn't look to slow any time soon either. 6X platinum is very possible, and 7x isn't out of the question. Though I'd like 7x platinum to be exclusive to Some Hearts and the Nickelback album as of late.

**robinannhunt** · 02-06-2010

Originally Posted by The Nanook

Wow Fearless has sold 5.5 million in this day and age? That's really impressive. It doesn't look to slow any time soon either. 6X platinum is very possible, and 7x isn't out of the question. Though I'd like 7x platinum to be exclusive to Some Hearts and the Nickelback album as of late.

Time will tell.

**teesharky** · 02-06-2010

Cool to see PO getting a spike!

I don't think HDD factored in the itunes sales, which are clearly helping as PO is in the top 5 for all genre albums.

That is not as much of an increase for Tayor as I expected considering she won Album of the year. The article said her increase is lower then other previous winners. I guess people were not that impressed. lol

**dylan007** · 02-06-2010

Gaga's album will be selling more than the AOTY winner. Has Gaga been outselling Swif in the previous weeks?

I know it's a different time, but when Norah Jones won AOTY with Come Away With Me in 2003, her album sold 10M copies in that year eventually, when it took her 6 months upon initial release just to get to platinum status.

And her quote after sweeping the Big 4 awards was still one of the best:

"I felt like I went to somebody else's birthday party and I ate all their cake. Without anybody else getting a piece. That's how I felt."

**JB172** · 02-06-2010

Originally Posted by The Nanook

Wow Fearless has sold 5.5 million in this day and age? That's really impressive. It doesn't look to slow any time soon either. 6X platinum is very possible, and 7x isn't out of the question. Though I'd like 7x platinum to be exclusive to Some Hearts and the Nickelback album as of late.

I do have to agree that selling 5.5 million albums in this day and age is really impressive.

**eliefares** · 02-06-2010

^ You can't really look at it that way. For Taylor to have the kind of increase that the album which one the grammy last year had, she's sell more than lady A.
Last year's album didn't have the best sales (unlike Taylor) so when it won the grammy, it was bound to have a rebound since lots of people who hadn't heard of the album now know about it.
With Taylor, you are either living under a rock or you simply don't want to buy her album. Everyone knows about it by now. She was already selling considerably well on weekly basis. So basically, her sales spike of 90% is nearly doubling her sales - which is impressive on its own. If she were to have the kind of sales that last year's winners had, she'd sell over Lady A.

**teesharky** · 02-06-2010

^I see your point but I believe she would have sold alot more if her performance was on key. lol Either way, I am happy for Carrie to see an increase.

**Jade_kt** · 02-06-2010

Is this a Carrie thread or a TS thread? Good to see Carrie back in the top 15.

**clh_hilary** · 02-06-2010

Originally Posted by dylan007

Gaga's album will be selling more than the AOTY winner. Has Gaga been outselling Swif in the previous weeks?

I know it's a different time, but when Norah Jones won AOTY with Come Away With Me in 2003, her album sold 10M copies in that year eventually, when it took her 6 months upon initial release just to get to platinum status.

And her quote after sweeping the Big 4 awards was still one of the best:

"I felt like I went to somebody else's birthday party and I ate all their cake. Without anybody else getting a piece. That's how I felt."

I believe Norah Jones' "Come Away With Me" sold more than 620k in a week after her Grammy wins.

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