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HDD Sales Projections for Week 51
Old 10-12-2008, 10:50 PM   #1 (permalink)
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HDD Sales Projections for Week 51

I thought I would start the Chart thread since I found this on HDD:

YOUR WEAKEND TOP 10 PREVIEW: Four debuts, and maybe five, are headed for next week’s leader board, led by Rise Against (Geffen/Interscope) with a projected 70-75k. That total appears to be enough for a #2 finish behind reigning champ TI (Grand Hustle/Atlantic), who has enough momentum to wind up with another 175-200k in week two. Then we’ve got #3 Jennifer Hudson (Arista/RMG) with 65-70k, #4 Metallica (Warner Bros.) with 60-65k, Oasis’ first for Warner Bros. bowing at #5 with 55-60k and #6 Ne-Yo (Def Jam/IDJ) with 50-55k. The next five slots are up for grabs, with three debuts—a Bob Dylan Bootleg Series set (Columbia/Legacy), a best-of from Tim McGraw (Curb) and a hits collection from Sarah McLachlin (Arista/RMG)—all trending toward 40-45k, as are Kid Rock (Atlantic) and Robin Thicke (Star Trak/Interscope). You may now return to averting your eyes from the CNBC stock ticker. (10/10a).


How did Faith Hill's Christmas album do anyway? I thought it would sell very well. Odd that it didn't make the top 50.
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Old 10-12-2008, 11:08 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by teesharky View Post
I thought I would start the Chart thread since I found this on HDD:

YOUR WEAKEND TOP 10 PREVIEW: Four debuts, and maybe five, are headed for next week’s leader board, led by Rise Against (Geffen/Interscope) with a projected 70-75k. That total appears to be enough for a #2 finish behind reigning champ TI (Grand Hustle/Atlantic), who has enough momentum to wind up with another 175-200k in week two. Then we’ve got #3 Jennifer Hudson (Arista/RMG) with 65-70k, #4 Metallica (Warner Bros.) with 60-65k, Oasis’ first for Warner Bros. bowing at #5 with 55-60k and #6 Ne-Yo (Def Jam/IDJ) with 50-55k. The next five slots are up for grabs, with three debuts—a Bob Dylan Bootleg Series set (Columbia/Legacy), a best-of from Tim McGraw (Curb) and a hits collection from Sarah McLachlin (Arista/RMG)—all trending toward 40-45k, as are Kid Rock (Atlantic) and Robin Thicke (Star Trak/Interscope). You may now return to averting your eyes from the CNBC stock ticker. (10/10a).


How did Faith Hill's Christmas album do anyway? I thought it would sell very well. Odd that it didn't make the top 50.
Faith's album was just outside the top 50 on Billboard. It was #51 and sold 11.2K. A Christmas album released well before Christmas doesn't generally make a big splash. It will pick up as we get into the Christmas buying season. That is why people shouldn't expect an initial big splash with the Christmas version of CR. The impact will be seen closer to Christmas.
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Old 10-13-2008, 08:38 AM   #3 (permalink)
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I always love this thread. I look forward to it.
I do hope the Carrie fans make a dent in sales with the release of the Christmas ed.
I know I plan to buy several.
I joke with my friends about the fact that they all have Carries full Cd collection weather they want it or not.
Let's hope for big numbers this week people.
 
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Old 10-13-2008, 10:29 AM   #4 (permalink)
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thanks for the update!
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Old 10-13-2008, 11:49 AM   #5 (permalink)
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Don't expect any updates today as it is Columbus Day.
 
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Old 10-13-2008, 12:24 PM   #6 (permalink)
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thanks for saying this Cary
 
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Old 10-13-2008, 12:55 PM   #7 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cary78663 View Post
Faith's album was just outside the top 50 on Billboard. It was #51 and sold 11.2K. A Christmas album released well before Christmas doesn't generally make a big splash. It will pick up as we get into the Christmas buying season. That is why people shouldn't expect an initial big splash with the Christmas version of CR. The impact will be seen closer to Christmas.
I do think that CR sales will jump up for the first 2 or 3 weeks after it comes out with the Christmas songs because of the die-hard fans that won't be able to wait for Christmas....I'd say maybe a 10-20k jump??? From there a slight decrease thena pick up again with the actual holiday season.
 
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Old 10-13-2008, 12:58 PM   #8 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by carrieidol1 View Post
I do think that CR sales will jump up for the first 2 or 3 weeks after it comes out with the Christmas songs because of the die-hard fans that won't be able to wait for Christmas....I'd say maybe a 10-20k jump??? From there a slight decrease thena pick up again with the actual holiday season.
IMO you're WAY overestimating the jump. If Faith sold 11.2K of a full Christmas album available at all stores its first week then IMO Carrie's not going to come anywhere near that with a bonus Christmas CD that's only available at Walmart. I'm looking for a CR sales increase of 500 to 1000 copies sold the first week and if it's more than that that's fantastic. Remember there'll be next to no promo and most people aren't buying Christmas music yet. The only people who are going to go out the first week are the diehard Carrie fans on the message boards and I don't think that'll be more than a thousand copies sold.

Keep in mind that even an increase of 1K would be a 10-11% boost to CR sales so that'd be good.
 
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HDD has numbers posted
Old 10-13-2008, 01:36 PM   #9 (permalink)
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HDD has numbers posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by cary78663 View Post
Don't expect any updates today as it is Columbus Day.
At 36.20%, Carrie does not appear.
 
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Old 10-13-2008, 01:46 PM   #10 (permalink)
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well i just checked HDD and no chart numbers show for me.
 
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Old 10-13-2008, 01:59 PM   #11 (permalink)
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well i just checked HDD and no chart numbers show for me.
That's really strange. I just checked again, and the number that were there earlier are gone. I know I'm not imagining things, but unfortunately, I closed the site and did not copy and paste numbers, as I should have.

Sorry about the confusion - I'm confused myself.


Numbers are back....

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CHART DATE: 10/13/2008
LAST UPDATE: 10/13/2008 11:33:31
NOW IN: 36.20%

LW TW artist / album label power index
1 1 T.I. GRAND HUSTLE/ATLANTIC 52,383
PAPER TRAIL
5 2 METALLICA WARNER BROS. 31,285
DEATH MAGNETIC
7 3 KID ROCK ATLANTIC 29,300
ROCK N ROLL JESUS
2 4 JENNIFER HUDSON ARISTA/RMG 24,284
JENNIFER HUDSON
6 5 NE-YO DEF JAM/IDJMG 19,831
YEAR OF THE GENTLEMAN
-- 6 TIM MCGRAW CURB 19,364
GREATEST HITS, VOL. 3
-- 7 RISE AGAINST DGC/INTERSCOPE 16,948
APPEAL TO REASON
19 8 RIHANNA DEF JAM/IDJMG 12,875
GOOD GIRL GONE BAD
11 9 JAZMINE SULLIVAN J RECORDS/RMG 11,241
FEARLESS
3 10 ROBIN THICKE STAR TRAK/INTERSCOPE 10,991
SOMETHING ELSE
16 11 JONAS BROTHERS HOLLYWOOD 9,801
A LITTLE BIT LONGER
26 12 DARIUS RUCKER CAPITOL NASHVILLE 9,656
LEARN TO LIVE
24 13 LEONA LEWIS J RECORDS/RMG 9,589
SPIRIT
-- 14 OASIS WARNER BROS. 9,250
DIG OUT YOUR SOUL
-- 15 TESLA TESLA ELECTRIC 9,054
FOREVER MORE
-- 16 SENSES FAIL VAGRANT 8,929
LIFE IS NOT A WAITING ROOM
10 17 YOUNG JEEZY DEF JAM/IDJMG 8,284
RECESSION
34 18 TAYLOR SWIFT BIG MACHINE 8,134
TAYLOR SWIFT
22 19 SUGARLAND MERCURY NASHVILLE 7,617
LOVE ON THE INSIDE
-- 20 BOB DYLAN COLUMBIA 7,418
TELL TALE SIGNS-BOOTLEG SERIES 8
-- 21 SARAH MCLACHLIN ARISTA/RMG 7,212
CLOSER: BEST OF SARAH MCLACHLIN
31 22 KATY PERRY CAPITOL 7,209
ONE OF THE BOYS
13 23 LIL WAYNE CASH MONEY/UNIV MOTOWN 7,093
THA CARTER III
35 24 BUCKCHERRY ELEVEN SEVEN MUSIC 7,041
BLACK BUTTERFLY
17 25 PUSSYCAT DOLLS INTERSCOPE 6,888
DOLL DOMINATION
23 26 MAMMA MIA! DECCA 6,884
SOUNDTRACK
-- 27 WOW HITS 2009 WORD 6,805
VARIOUS ARTISTS
33 28 MILEY CYRUS HOLLYWOOD 6,704
BREAKOUT
15 29 DEMI LOVATO HOLLYWOOD 6,598
DON'T FORGET
43 30 NOW COUNTRY UME/UNIVERSAL NASHVILLE 6,289
NOW COUNTRY
25 31 SLIPKNOT ROADRUNNER 6,271
ALL HOPE IS GONE
9 32 KELLIE PICKLER BNA/SBMG NASHVILLE 5,994
KELLIE PICKLER
39 33 NOW 28 CAPITOL 5,860
VARIOUS ARTISTS
4 34 JAMES TAYLOR HEAR MUSIC/CONCORD 5,674
COVERS
20 35 JOE KEDAR ENTERAINMENT 5,630
JOE THOMAS NEW MAN
32 36 NELLY DERRTY/UNIV MOTOWN 5,554
BRASS KNUCKLES
29 37 JASON MRAZ ATLANTIC 5,313
WE SING WE DANCE WE STEAL THINGS
27 38 NEW KIDS ON THE BLOCK INTERSCOPE 5,074
BLOCK
30 39 COLDPLAY CAPITOL 4,753
VIVA LA VIDA
18 40 THE GAME GEFFEN 4,160
LAX
50 41 DISTURBED REPRISE 4,017
INDESTRUCTIBLE
-- 42 MICHELLE WILLIAMS COLUMBIA 3,864
UNEXPECTED
-- 43 SAVING ABEL VIRGIN 3,784
SAVING ABEL
40 44 CAMP ROCK WALT DISNEY RECORDS 3,529
SOUNDTRACK
36 45 DUFFY MERCURY 3,189
ROCKFERRY
38 46 ERIC BENET REPRISE 3,108
LOVE & LIFE
21 47 KINGS OF LEON RCA/RMG 2,969
ONLY BY THE NIGHT
14 48 ANBERLIN UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 2,897
NEW SURRENDER
-- 49 SHINEDOWN ATLANTIC 2,846
SOUND OF MADNESS
48 50 JESSICA SIMPSON EPIC/COLUMBIA NASHVILLE 2,635
DO YOU KNOW

Last edited by Carrie'sTexasFan; 10-13-2008 at 02:26 PM.. Reason: website back
 
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Old 10-13-2008, 02:33 PM   #12 (permalink)
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Thanks. That was weird.
 
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Old 10-13-2008, 02:34 PM   #13 (permalink)
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Still doesn't show up for me but that is okay.
 
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Old 10-13-2008, 02:35 PM   #14 (permalink)
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Nevermind. It just appeared.
 
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